Hertha Wiesbach vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)ProWin Stadion am Wallenborn, Eppelborn
The Footlab model makes Hertha Wiesbach the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha Wiesbach vs Ahrweiler?
Hertha Wiesbach starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,503).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha Wiesbach have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gonsenheim(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Auersmacher(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elversberg II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 30, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha Wiesbach score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha Wiesbach | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha Wiesbach sit 12th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (4 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hertha Wiesbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha Wiesbach vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha Wiesbach the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Hertha Wiesbach vs Ahrweiler played?
- Hertha Wiesbach vs Ahrweiler is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at ProWin Stadion am Wallenborn, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Wormatia WormsvsTuS Koblenz
- Sep 12, 2026Cosmos KoblenzvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Sep 12, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsElversberg II
- Sep 12, 2026FV Engers 07vsPirmasens
- Sep 12, 2026Schott MainzvsAuersmacher
- Sep 12, 2026DiefflenvsRW Wittlich
- Sep 12, 2026EisbachtalvsGonsenheim
- Sep 13, 2026MechtersheimvsGau-Odernheim