Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 35Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes Schwaben Augsburg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Greuther Fürth II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Schwaben Augsburg (1,794) and Greuther Fürth II (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwaben Augsburg have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Greuther Fürth II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landsberg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Schwaben Augsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Greuther Fürth II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg 4-2 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Schwaben Augsburg 2-3 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Greuther Fürth II 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schwaben Augsburg score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Greuther Fürth II score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaben Augsburg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Greuther Fürth II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwaben Augsburg sit 13th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 5 matches) and Greuther Fürth II sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Schwaben Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II?
- The Footlab model makes Schwaben Augsburg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Greuther Fürth II.
- Where and when is Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II played?
- Schwaben Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth II is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.