Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 36Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Greuther Fürth II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greuther Fürth II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landsberg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Greuther Fürth II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Illertissen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Illertissen 2-1 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Illertissen 0-0 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Greuther Fürth II 0-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 15, 2024 | Greuther Fürth II 2-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Illertissen 2-2 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Greuther Fürth II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Fürth II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greuther Fürth II sit 16th in Regionalliga - Bayern (3 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Greuther Fürth II.
- Where and when is Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen played?
- Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.