Match

Schwachhausen vs Vatan Sport: prediction and stats

Oberliga - BremenBremen - 29Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)BZA Schwachhausen, Bremen

SchwachhausenVatan Sport

The Footlab model makes Schwachhausen the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schwachhausen vs Vatan Sport?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Schwachhausen (1,716) and Vatan Sport (1,646).

Schwachhausen win50 %
Draw19 %
Vatan Sport win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwachhausen have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Vatan Sport have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schwachhausen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Geestemünde(home)3-2Oberliga - Bremen
Aug 13, 2026Blumenthaler SV(away)2-3Oberliga - Bremen
Aug 9, 2026Union Bremen(home)0-4Oberliga - Bremen
Jul 18, 2024Vahr-Blockdiek(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
May 14, 2023OSC Bremerhaven(home)5-2Oberliga - Bremen
Vatan Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026BTS Neustadt(away)6-0Oberliga - Bremen
Aug 12, 2026Geestemünde(home)3-3Oberliga - Bremen
Aug 9, 2026Werder Bremen III(away)5-3Oberliga - Bremen
May 15, 2026Hemelingen(away)2-7Oberliga - Bremen
May 10, 2026Aumund-Vegesack(home)2-4Oberliga - Bremen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Schwachhausen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vatan Sport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 10, 2022Vatan Sport 0-3 SchwachhausenOberliga - Bremen
Aug 14, 2022Schwachhausen 0-2 Vatan SportOberliga - Bremen
May 13, 2022Schwachhausen 4-3 Vatan SportOberliga - Bremen
Feb 23, 2022Vatan Sport 1-0 SchwachhausenOberliga - Bremen

Last archived meeting: Vatan Sport vs Schwachhausen on Dec 10, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Schwachhausen score 1.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Schwachhausen1.93.1011/1515/15
Vatan Sport2.22.9112/1515/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Schwachhausen sit 11th in Oberliga - Bremen (3 points from 3 matches) and Vatan Sport sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Vatan Sport32101467
11Schwachhausen3102593

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schwachhausen vs Vatan Sport?
The Footlab model makes Schwachhausen the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Vatan Sport.
Where and when is Schwachhausen vs Vatan Sport played?
Schwachhausen vs Vatan Sport is played on May 9, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at BZA Schwachhausen, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Schwachhausen and Vatan Sport

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