Vatan Sport vs Schwachhausen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BSA Gröpelingen, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Schwachhausen the favourite at 44%, against 19% for a draw and 37% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vatan Sport vs Schwachhausen?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Vatan Sport (1,646) and Schwachhausen (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vatan Sport have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Schwachhausen have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Vahr-Blockdiek(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2023 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vatan Sport win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Schwachhausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | Vatan Sport 0-3 Schwachhausen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Schwachhausen 0-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 13, 2022 | Schwachhausen 4-3 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Vatan Sport 1-0 Schwachhausen | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Vatan Sport vs Schwachhausen on Dec 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Schwachhausen score 1.9 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Schwachhausen | 1.9 | 3.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vatan Sport sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bremen (7 points from 3 matches) and Schwachhausen sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Schwachhausen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vatan Sport vs Schwachhausen?
- The Footlab model makes Schwachhausen the favourite at 44%, against 19% for a draw and 37% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Vatan Sport vs Schwachhausen played?
- Vatan Sport vs Schwachhausen is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Gröpelingen, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.