Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Wilhelmshaven: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 11Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Waldsportstätten, Rehden
The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Wilhelmshaven?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Schwarz-Weiß Rehden (1,790) and Wilhelmshaven (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwarz-Weiß Rehden have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Wilhelmshaven have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bersenbrück(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Wolfenbuttel(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bersenbrück(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Meppen II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 13, 2026 | Wetschen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wilhelmshaven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven 1-4 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1-2 Wilhelmshaven | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 0-2 Wilhelmshaven | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Wilhelmshaven 2-2 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Wilhelmshaven vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wilhelmshaven score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Wilhelmshaven | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden sit 6th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (5 points from 3 matches) and Wilhelmshaven sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wilhelmshaven | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Wilhelmshaven?
- The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden.
- Where and when is Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Wilhelmshaven played?
- Schwarz-Weiß Rehden vs Wilhelmshaven is played on October 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Waldsportstätten, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.