Vorsfelde vs Bersenbrück: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Drömlingstadion, Wolfsburg
The Footlab model makes Vorsfelde the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Bersenbrück. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vorsfelde vs Bersenbrück?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Vorsfelde (1,707) and Bersenbrück (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vorsfelde have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Bersenbrück have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verden 04(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 18, 2025 | Meppen II(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 11, 2025 | Bersenbrück(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Holthausen-Biene(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vorsfelde win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bersenbrück win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Vorsfelde 2-1 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Bersenbrück 3-2 Vorsfelde | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Vorsfelde 2-0 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Bersenbrück 4-1 Vorsfelde | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Vorsfelde vs Bersenbrück on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vorsfelde score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bersenbrück score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vorsfelde | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Bersenbrück | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vorsfelde sit 10th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (3 points from 3 matches) and Bersenbrück sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vorsfelde | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Bersenbrück | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vorsfelde vs Bersenbrück?
- The Footlab model makes Vorsfelde the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Bersenbrück.
- Where and when is Vorsfelde vs Bersenbrück played?
- Vorsfelde vs Bersenbrück is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Drömlingstadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.