Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake played?

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake is played on September 24, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Seattle Sounders

Real Salt Lake

The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Seattle Sounders (1,799) and Real Salt Lake (1,795).

Seattle Sounders win46 %

Draw24 %

Real Salt Lake win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seattle Sounders have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Real Salt Lake have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seattle Sounders
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Austin(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Club Queretaro(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup

Real Salt Lake
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	3-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	4-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Seattle Sounders win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Real Salt Lake win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Real Salt Lake 2-1 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Oct 12, 2025	Seattle Sounders 1-0 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
Mar 1, 2025	Real Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024	Seattle Sounders 1-1 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024	Real Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2023	Real Salt Lake 3-0 Seattle Sounders	Leagues Cup

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders	0.9	1.9	1	9/15	8/15
Real Salt Lake	1.9	1.3	4	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Seattle Sounders sit 13th in Major League Soccer (25 points from 20 matches) and Real Salt Lake sit 8th (28 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Real Salt Lake	20	8	4	8	34	32	28
13	Seattle Sounders	20	7	4	9	22	27	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?: The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Real Salt Lake.
Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake played?: Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake is played on September 24, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.