Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Arges Pitesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Arena Sepsi OSK, Sfântu Gheorghe
The Footlab model makes Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Arges Pitesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Arges Pitesti?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (1,766) and Arges Pitesti (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Arges Pitesti have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Csikszereda(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arges Pitesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Arges Pitesti 0-5 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Dec 15, 2021 | Arges Pitesti 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-2 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Arges Pitesti 1-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-0 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Nov 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe sit 11th in Liga I (7 points from 6 matches) and Arges Pitesti sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arges Pitesti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Arges Pitesti?
- The Footlab model makes Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Arges Pitesti.
- Where and when is Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Arges Pitesti played?
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Arges Pitesti is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Sepsi OSK, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.