Serik Spor vs İnegölspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, Serik
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Serik Spor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Serik Spor vs İnegölspor?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Serik Spor (1,678) and İnegölspor (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Serik Spor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; İnegölspor have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hatayspor(home) | 4-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Serik Spor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 İnegölspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | Serik Spor 1-1 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 6, 2021 | İnegölspor 2-2 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Serik Spor vs İnegölspor on Mar 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Serik Spor score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serik Spor | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| İnegölspor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | İnegölspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67 | 44 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Serik Spor vs İnegölspor?
- The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Serik Spor.
- Where and when is Serik Spor vs İnegölspor played?
- Serik Spor vs İnegölspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.