Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Ordu Stadyumu, Ordu
The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for 1461 Trabzon FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Yeni Orduspor (1,740) and 1461 Trabzon FK (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Orduspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; 1461 Trabzon FK have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yeni Orduspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 1461 Trabzon FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2020 | 1461 Trabzon FK 2-1 Yeni Orduspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: 1461 Trabzon FK vs Yeni Orduspor on Nov 4, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Yeni Orduspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeni Orduspor | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| 1461 Trabzon FK | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 51 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?
- The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for 1461 Trabzon FK.
- Where and when is Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?
- Yeni Orduspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Ordu Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.