Serik Spor vs Karacabey Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, Serik
The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Karacabey Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Serik Spor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Serik Spor (1,679) and Karacabey Belediyespor (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Serik Spor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Karacabey Belediyespor have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hatayspor(home) | 4-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Serik Spor win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Serik Spor 2-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-2 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-1 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Serik Spor 0-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| May 16, 2023 | Serik Spor 0-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-1 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Serik Spor vs Karacabey Belediyespor on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Serik Spor score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serik Spor | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Serik Spor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Karacabey Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Serik Spor vs Karacabey Belediyespor played?
- Serik Spor vs Karacabey Belediyespor is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İsmail Ogan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.