Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?

Sakaryaspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sakaryaspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, Adapazarı

Sakaryaspor

1461 Trabzon FK

The Footlab model makes Sakaryaspor the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for 1461 Trabzon FK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sakaryaspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Sakaryaspor (1,661) and 1461 Trabzon FK (1,655).

Sakaryaspor win41 %

Draw26 %

1461 Trabzon FK win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sakaryaspor have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; 1461 Trabzon FK have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sakaryaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Manisa F.K.(away)	0-5	1. Lig
Apr 26, 2026	Çorum FK(home)	0-4	1. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	1-1	1. Lig
Apr 13, 2026	Esenler Erokspor(home)	1-2	1. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ümraniyespor(away)	0-2	1. Lig

1461 Trabzon FK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Menemen FK(home)	4-5	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Kırklarelispor(away)	2-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Adanaspor(away)	3-0	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)	0-1	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sakaryaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 1461 Trabzon FK win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 23, 2022	1461 Trabzon FK 0-1 Sakaryaspor	2. Lig
Oct 17, 2021	Sakaryaspor 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: 1461 Trabzon FK vs Sakaryaspor on Feb 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sakaryaspor	0.9	1.9	2	7/15	7/15
1461 Trabzon FK	1.2	1.7	2	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	1461 Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54	51	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sakaryaspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?: The Footlab model makes Sakaryaspor the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for 1461 Trabzon FK.
Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?: Sakaryaspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.