Sestao River vs Terrassa: result 4-1 and analysis
Copa FederacionQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 30, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
Full time
What was the result of Sestao River vs Terrassa?
Sestao River won 4-1 on September 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 12′?Sestao River
- 26′632154Terrassa
- 58′Adri CarriónSestao River
- 60′?Sestao River
- 69′A. Castillo MarcillaSestao River
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sestao River win at 51%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Terrassa have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Comillas(away) | 2-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 4-0 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-0 | Copa Federacion |
How many goals should we expect?
Sestao River score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Terrassa score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Terrassa | 0.9 | 0.9 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sestao River vs Terrassa?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy