Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia: result 3-1 and analysis
Copa FederacionQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
Full time
What was the result of Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?
Navalcarnero won 3-1 on September 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 51′M. JimenezNavalcarnero
- 52′Alex MecaReal Murcia
- 55′680770Navalcarnero
- 65′680770Navalcarnero
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Murcia win at 49%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Real Murcia have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 4-0 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 2-0 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Europa Fc(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 4-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Murcia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy