Sevilla III vs Utrera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sevilla III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrera wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla III vs Utrera?
Utrera starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,633).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla III vs Utrera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla III
Not enough data to predict the Sevilla III lineup.
Utrera
Not enough data to predict the Utrera lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla III have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Utrera have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Egabrense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Conil(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sevilla III wins, 0 draws, 4 Utrera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Utrera 1-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Sevilla III 2-1 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Utrera 2-1 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sevilla III 2-1 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Sevilla III 1-2 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Utrera 2-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla III score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Utrera score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla III | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Utrera | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla III sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (5 points from 6 matches) and Utrera sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utrera | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 17 | Sevilla III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Sevilla III vs Utrera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla III vs Utrera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrera the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Sevilla III.
- Where and when is Sevilla III vs Utrera played?
- Sevilla III vs Utrera is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.