Sevilla III vs Ceuta II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla III the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ceuta II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla III vs Ceuta II?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Sevilla III (1,703) and Ceuta II (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla III vs Ceuta II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla III
Not enough data to predict the Sevilla III lineup.
Ceuta II
Not enough data to predict the Ceuta II lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla III have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ceuta II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Egabrense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Conil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sevilla III wins, 0 draws, 2 Ceuta II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Sevilla III 3-1 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ceuta II 1-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Ceuta II 0-1 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Sevilla III 2-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Sevilla III 2-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Ceuta II 1-0 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla III vs Ceuta II on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla III score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ceuta II score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla III | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ceuta II | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla III sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (5 points from 7 matches) and Ceuta II sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ceuta II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Sevilla III | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Sevilla III vs Ceuta II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla III vs Ceuta II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla III the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ceuta II.
- Where and when is Sevilla III vs Ceuta II played?
- Sevilla III vs Ceuta II is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.