SF Grei vs Union Carl Berner: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Greibanen, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for SF Grei. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SF Grei vs Union Carl Berner?
Union Carl Berner starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,583 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SF Grei have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Union Carl Berner have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bærum(home) | 1-7 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KFUM II(away) | 0-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ullern(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Asker(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 SF Grei win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Union Carl Berner win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Union Carl Berner 2-1 SF Grei | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
Last archived meeting: Union Carl Berner vs SF Grei on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SF Grei score 1.5 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union Carl Berner score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF Grei | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Union Carl Berner | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SF Grei sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (10 points from 16 matches) and Union Carl Berner sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Carl Berner | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 14 | SF Grei | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 56 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SF Grei vs Union Carl Berner?
- The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for SF Grei.
- Where and when is SF Grei vs Union Carl Berner played?
- SF Grei vs Union Carl Berner is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Greibanen, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.