Match

SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 20Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg

SGV FreibergVfR Mannheim

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VfR Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim?

SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,923).

SGV Freiberg win51 %
Draw23 %
VfR Mannheim win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; VfR Mannheim have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)5-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)1-6Friendlies Clubs
VfR Mannheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SGV Freiberg(home)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jun 10, 2026Pirmasens(away)1-0Oberliga - Promotion Round
Jun 4, 2026Eddersheim(home)4-1Oberliga - Promotion Round

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 SGV Freiberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 VfR Mannheim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim 0-0 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Feb 14, 2026VfR Mannheim 6-4 SGV FreibergFriendlies Clubs
Feb 16, 2025VfR Mannheim 1-4 SGV FreibergFriendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2023VfR Mannheim 0-1 SGV FreibergFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfR Mannheim vs SGV Freiberg on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SGV Freiberg1.72.149/1513/15
VfR Mannheim2.01.3510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and VfR Mannheim sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SGV Freiberg3210807
14VfR Mannheim3021342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim?
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VfR Mannheim.
Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim played?
SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SGV Freiberg and VfR Mannheim

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