SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 20Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VfR Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; VfR Mannheim have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 SGV Freiberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 VfR Mannheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim 0-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 14, 2026 | VfR Mannheim 6-4 SGV Freiberg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 16, 2025 | VfR Mannheim 1-4 SGV Freiberg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2023 | VfR Mannheim 0-1 SGV Freiberg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: VfR Mannheim vs SGV Freiberg on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and VfR Mannheim sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VfR Mannheim.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim played?
- SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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