Match

VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim

VfR MannheimFreiburg II

The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Freiburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate VfR Mannheim (1,923) and Freiburg II (1,917).

VfR Mannheim win41 %
Draw23 %
Freiburg II win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Freiburg II have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Mannheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SGV Freiberg(home)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jun 10, 2026Pirmasens(away)1-0Oberliga - Promotion Round
Jun 4, 2026Eddersheim(home)4-1Oberliga - Promotion Round
Freiburg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stuttgarter Kickers(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026Hessen Kassel(home)5-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 25, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026FC Schaffhausen(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfR Mannheim2.01.3510/1510/15
Freiburg II2.51.7311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Mannheim sit 14th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and Freiburg II sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Freiburg II3120845
14VfR Mannheim3021342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II?
The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Freiburg II.
Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II played?
VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfR Mannheim and Freiburg II

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