VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Freiburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate VfR Mannheim (1,923) and Freiburg II (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Freiburg II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Mannheim sit 14th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and Freiburg II sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Freiburg II.
- Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II played?
- VfR Mannheim vs Freiburg II is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027SV SandhausenvsEintracht Trier
- Feb 27, 2027VfR AalenvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Feb 27, 2027FSV FrankfurtvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Feb 27, 2027SSV Ulm 1846vsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Feb 27, 2027Hessen KasselvsTSV Steinbach
- Feb 27, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsKickers Offenbach
- Feb 27, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsFC 08 Homburg
- Feb 27, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsSGV Freiberg