Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Lviv, Lviv
The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Dynamo Kyiv. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Shakhtar Donetsk starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,185 vs 2,077).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1- 9Kauã Elias
- 29E. Nazaryna
- 6Marlon Gomes
- 30Alisson Santana
- 27O. Ocheretko
- 77G. Mendoza
- 22M. Matvienko
- 13Pedrinho
- 5V. Bondar
- 17Vinícius Tobias
- 31D. Riznyk
Dynamo Kyiv
4-1-4-1- 11M. Ponomarenko
- 6V. Brazhko
- 10M. Shaparenko
- 7A. Yarmolenko
- 16S. Ogundana
- 9N. Voloshyn
- 94T. Kędziora
- 44V. Dubinchak
- 32T. Mykhavko
- 5O. Sych
- 1H. Bushchan
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shakhtar Donetsk have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shakhtar Donetsk wins, 2 draws, 1 Dynamo Kyiv win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
| May 3, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup |
| May 14, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv on Oct 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shakhtar Donetsk sit 1st in Premier League (28 points from 11 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 28 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 22 |
A question about Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Dynamo Kyiv.
- Where and when is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Lviv, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.