Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Lviv, Lviv
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Shakhtar Donetsk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dynamo Kyiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,600 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
On Elo ratings, Shakhtar Donetsk has 2,199 points and Dynamo Kyiv 2,096.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1- 9Kauã Elias
- 8D. Kryskiv
- 11Newertton
- 29E. Nazaryna
- 99Bruninho
- 6Marlon Gomes
- 22M. Matvienko
- 13Pedrinho
- 17Vinícius Tobias
- 5V. Bondar
- 31D. Riznyk
Dynamo Kyiv
4-1-4-1- 11M. Ponomarenko
- 6V. Brazhko
- 10M. Shaparenko
- 9N. Voloshyn
- 7A. Yarmolenko
- 22V. Kabaev
- 32T. Mykhavko
- 44V. Dubinchak
- 94T. Kędziora
- 5O. Sych
- 1H. Bushchan
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shakhtar Donetsk have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shakhtar Donetsk wins, 3 draws, 1 Dynamo Kyiv win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup |
| May 14, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Shakhtar Donetsk.
- Where and when is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Lviv, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.