Shatin vs Citizen AA: result 3-3 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 5, 2014 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Shatin vs Citizen AA?
Shatin and Citizen AA drew 3-3 on October 5, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Citizen AA have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Tuen Mun SA(away) | 7-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Resources Capital(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Happy Valley(away) | 3-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Wanchai(home) | 5-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Tuen Mun FC(away) | 8-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Metro Gallery Sun Source(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Kwai Tsing(home) | 3-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Sun Hei(away) | 6-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Yau Tsim Mong(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 11, 2014 | South China(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 3.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Citizen AA score 1.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 3.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Citizen AA | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shatin sit 8th in HKFA 1st Division (19 points from 13 matches) and Citizen AA sit 12th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy