Yau Tsim Mong vs Southern District: result 3-2 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 5, 2014 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #6, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Yau Tsim Mong vs Southern District?
Yau Tsim Mong won 3-2 on October 5, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Yau Tsim Mong have 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Southern District have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2014 | Lucky Mile(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Double Flower(home) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Citizen AA(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | Lucky Mile(home) | 4-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Double Flower(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 11, 2014 | Sun Hei(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2014 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Yau Tsim Mong score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Southern District score 1.7 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yau Tsim Mong | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0 | 4/4 | 3/4 |
| Southern District | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy