Shatin vs Lucky Mile: result 3-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 20, 2016 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Shatin vs Lucky Mile?
Shatin won 3-1 on March 20, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lucky Mile have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2016 | Metro Gallery Sun Source(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Citizen AA(home) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Kwun Tong(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2016 | Double Flower(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Kwai Tsing(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 28, 2016 | Resources Capital(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 3-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Yau Tsim Mong(away) | 1-8 | HKFA 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Shatin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lucky Mile win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2015 | Lucky Mile 3-3 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 17, 2015 | Shatin 1-2 Lucky Mile | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Lucky Mile 2-4 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Lucky Mile 0-4 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 19, 2014 | Shatin 4-0 Lucky Mile | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lucky Mile score 1.3 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lucky Mile | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shatin sit 8th in HKFA 1st Division (19 points from 13 matches) and Lucky Mile sit 13th (3 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy