Southern District vs Shatin: prediction and stats
League CupLosers Play OffsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Aberdeen Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Shatin. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southern District vs Shatin?
Southern District starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,390 vs 1,267).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southern District vs Shatin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southern District
4-3-3- 12Kak Yi Lai
- 9Poon Pui Hin
- 27Kayron
- 11S. Sasaki
- 10Wong Ho Chun Anson
- 99Cheng Tsz-Sum
- 2C. Hall
- 16Chak Ting Fung
- 4K. Kawase
- 3Fabio Erins
- 1Ng Wai Him
Shatin
4-3-3- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 20Matheus Dantas
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 30J. Arthur
- 39Bryan Lau
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southern District have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Shatin have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 3-5 | Senior Shield |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | North District(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Senior Shield |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eastern District(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Southern District wins, 1 draw, 0 Shatin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2015 | Southern District 6-0 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 21, 2015 | Shatin 1-4 Southern District | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Southern District 3-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Shatin 1-1 Southern District | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Southern District vs Shatin on Apr 15, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Southern District score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Shatin score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern District | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Shatin | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Southern District vs Shatin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southern District vs Shatin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Shatin.
- Where and when is Southern District vs Shatin played?
- Southern District vs Shatin is played on November 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Aberdeen Sports Ground, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.