Shatin vs South China: result 3-2 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 12, 2017 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Shatin vs South China?
Shatin won 3-2 on November 12, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; South China have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2017 | Sun Hei(home) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Hong Kong(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Mutual(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 8, 2017 | Wing Yee(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Tung Sing(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2017 | Eastern District(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Mutual(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Hoi King(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 14, 2017 | Wing Yee(home) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 8, 2017 | Resources Capital(away) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; South China score 1.7 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 2.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| South China | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shatin sit 8th in HKFA 1st Division (19 points from 13 matches) and South China sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | South China | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy