Sheger Ketema vs Adama Kenema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 39%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sheger Ketema wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Sheger Ketema (1,529) and Adama Kenema (1,493).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheger Ketema vs Adama Kenema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheger Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.
Adama Kenema
4-3-3- 18Abubeker Sani
- 15A. Elias
- 12D. Hotessa
- 16A. Sisay
- 25W. Gadissa
- 9N. Nuri
- 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
- 6M. Abdulkarim
- 21S. Yohannes
- 15M. Awol
- 1A. Markos
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheger Ketema have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Adama Kenema have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sheger Ketema wins, 3 draws, 0 Adama Kenema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema 0-0 Sheger Ketema | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Adama Kenema 3-3 Sheger Ketema | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Sheger Ketema 0-0 Adama Kenema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema on Oct 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheger Ketema | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Adama Kenema | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheger Ketema sit 12th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Adama Kenema sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Adama Kenema | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Sheger Ketema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Sheger Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheger Ketema vs Adama Kenema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 39%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Adama Kenema.
- Where and when is Sheger Ketema vs Adama Kenema played?
- Sheger Ketema vs Adama Kenema is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027BahardarvsHalaba Ketema
- Feb 20, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsKedus Giorgis
- Feb 20, 2027Fasil KetemavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Feb 20, 2027Sidama BunnavsGamo Chencha
- Feb 20, 2027Welayta DichavsHadiya Hosaena
- Feb 20, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsMekelakeya
- Feb 20, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsAwassa Kenema
- Feb 20, 2027Negelle ArsivsMebrat Hayl