Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Shimshon Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and FC Jerusalem (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 13, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 1-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Shimshon Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 16, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Apr 16, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsDimona
- Apr 16, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Azor
- Apr 16, 2027Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Apr 17, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsBeitar Yavne
- Apr 17, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Hadera
- Apr 17, 2027Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Sderot
- Apr 17, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Herzliya