Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 34Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
Tzeirey Tira starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tira have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 5-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tzeirey Tira win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2022 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-1 Tzeirey Tira | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Tzeirey Tira on Aug 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tzeirey Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on April 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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