Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and stats
CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl'
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,855) and Torpedo Moskva (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shinnik Yaroslavl have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Torpedo Moskva have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Torpedo Moskva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva 1-1 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| May 11, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva 0-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| May 11, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva 1-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Torpedo Moskva 1-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Moskva score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
- Where and when is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva played?
- Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva is played on September 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Shinnik, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.