Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Torpedo Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moskva?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,842) and Torpedo Moskva (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Torpedo Moskva have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nizhny Novgorod win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Torpedo Moskva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva 4-2 Nizhny Novgorod | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Nizhny Novgorod 4-0 Torpedo Moskva | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Torpedo Moskva | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Torpedo Moskva 0-0 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Nizhny Novgorod 4-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Torpedo Moskva 0-2 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Moskva score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (21 points from 8 matches) and Torpedo Moskva sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moskva?
- The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Torpedo Moskva.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moskva played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs Torpedo Moskva is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.