Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 30Kick-off on May 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Shirak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat-Armenia wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,206 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?
Ararat-Armenia is a heavy favourite: 1,878 Elo points against 1,523, a 354-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shirak
4-3-3- 10D. Kodia
- 7N. Janoyan
- 53M. Harutyunyan
- 6R. Misakyan
- 19S. Tsarukyan
- 8L. Darbinyan
- 2H. Pahlevanyan
- 5T. Sumbulyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 3R. Karagulyan
- 45V. Ermakov
Ararat-Armenia
4-2-3-1- 91Sandro Lima
- 77A. Serobyan
- 8J. Balanta
- 19K. Muradyan
- 7Z. Shaghoyan
- 10A. Ambartsumyan
- 47A. Malis
- 43Bruno Wilson
- 16E. Grigoryan
- 5Luís Felipe
- 98João Bravim
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shirak have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ararat-Armenia have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | BKMA(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Lernayin Artsakh(away) | 7-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Olympia Yerevan(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shirak wins, 0 draws, 6 Ararat-Armenia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Shirak 1-3 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Shirak 0-4 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Shirak 0-2 Ararat-Armenia | Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Shirak | Cup |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia 4-1 Shirak | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Shirak 0-1 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shirak score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirak | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ararat-Armenia | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shirak sit 7th in Premier League (14 points from 13 matches) and Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd (29 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ararat-Armenia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Shirak | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
A question about Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Shirak.
- Where and when is Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia played?
- Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia is played on May 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gyumri City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.