Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 30Kick-off on May 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Shirak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat-Armenia wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 6,369 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?
Ararat-Armenia is a heavy favourite: 1,878 Elo points against 1,523, a 354-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shirak
4-3-3- 10D. Kodia
- 7N. Janoyan
- 53M. Harutyunyan
- 6R. Misakyan
- 19S. Tsarukyan
- 8L. Darbinyan
- 2H. Pahlevanyan
- 5T. Sumbulyan
- 4H. Mnatsakanyan
- 3R. Karagulyan
- 45V. Ermakov
Ararat-Armenia
4-2-3-1- 91Sandro Lima
- 77A. Serobyan
- 8J. Balanta
- 19K. Muradyan
- 7Z. Shaghoyan
- 10A. Ambartsumyan
- 47A. Malis
- 43Bruno Wilson
- 16E. Grigoryan
- 5Luís Felipe
- 98João Bravim
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shirak have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ararat-Armenia have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | BKMA(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Lernayin Artsakh(away) | 7-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Olympia Yerevan(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shirak wins, 0 draws, 6 Ararat-Armenia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Shirak 1-3 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Shirak 0-4 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Shirak 0-2 Ararat-Armenia | Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Shirak | Cup |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia 4-1 Shirak | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Shirak 0-1 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shirak score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirak | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ararat-Armenia | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shirak sit 7th in Premier League (14 points from 13 matches) and Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd (29 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ararat-Armenia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Shirak | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
A question about Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Shirak.
- Where and when is Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia played?
- Shirak vs Ararat-Armenia is played on May 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gyumri City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.