Shirak vs FC Noah: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Shirak. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shirak vs FC Noah?
FC Noah is a heavy favourite: 1,916 Elo points against 1,452 — a 465-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shirak have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; FC Noah have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Urartu(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 26, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shirak win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FC Noah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak 3-4 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC Noah 3-0 Shirak | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Shirak 0-2 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | FC Noah 4-0 Shirak | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Shirak 1-2 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FC Noah 4-0 Shirak | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shirak score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Noah score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirak | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| FC Noah | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shirak sit 7th in Premier League (4 points from 4 matches) and FC Noah sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Shirak | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shirak vs FC Noah?
- The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Shirak.
- Where and when is Shirak vs FC Noah played?
- Shirak vs FC Noah is played on April 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gyumri City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.