Ararat vs Sardarapat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ararat. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sardarapat wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat vs Sardarapat?
Sardarapat starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat vs Sardarapat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 8P. Alekyan
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 18Malick Berte
- 55G. Lima
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Sardarapat
4-3-3- 8L. Petrosyan
- 28H. Minasyan
- 9L. Vardanyan
- 77G. Abrahamyan
- 10Y. Budagyan
- 21S. Galstyan
- 4Armen Sargsyan
- 19J. Quiñonez
- 5Ousmane Konate
- 22Sergey Kochkanyan
- 39G. Matinyan
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sardarapat have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ararat wins, 1 draw, 1 Sardarapat win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ararat 1-2 Sardarapat | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ararat 1-1 Sardarapat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ararat 5-1 Sardarapat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Sardarapat 0-3 Ararat | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sardarapat score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sardarapat | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0 | 14/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat sit 8th in Premier League (10 points from 9 matches) and Sardarapat sit 6th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sardarapat | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
| 8 | Ararat | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Ararat vs Sardarapat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat vs Sardarapat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ararat.
- Where and when is Ararat vs Sardarapat played?
- Ararat vs Sardarapat is played on April 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.