Shkendija vs Shkëndija Haraçinë: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Shkëndija Haraçinë. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shkendija vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
Shkendija is a heavy favourite: 1,826 Elo points against 1,510, a 316-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shkendija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Shkëndija Haraçinë have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Struga(away) | 0-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Shkendija win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Shkëndija Haraçinë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Shkendija | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Shkendija 3-2 Shkëndija Haraçinë | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Shkendija 1-0 Shkëndija Haraçinë | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Shkendija on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shkendija score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shkëndija Haraçinë score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkendija | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shkendija sit 1st in First League (12 points from 4 matches) and Shkëndija Haraçinë sit 8th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shkendija vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
- The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Shkëndija Haraçinë.
- Where and when is Shkendija vs Shkëndija Haraçinë played?
- Shkendija vs Shkëndija Haraçinë is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ecolog Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.