Bregalnica Štip vs Tikveš: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Štip
The Footlab model makes Bregalnica Štip the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tikveš. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bregalnica Štip vs Tikveš?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Bregalnica Štip (1,574) and Tikveš (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bregalnica Štip have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Tikveš have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 7-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 5-0 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 3-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bregalnica Štip win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tikveš win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bregalnica Štip 2-1 Tikveš | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Tikveš 2-1 Bregalnica Štip | First League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bregalnica Štip 2-1 Tikveš | First League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Tikveš 2-1 Bregalnica Štip | First League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Bregalnica Štip 0-0 Tikveš | First League |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Bregalnica Štip 1-0 Tikveš | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bregalnica Štip vs Tikveš on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bregalnica Štip score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tikveš score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bregalnica Štip | 2.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Tikveš | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bregalnica Štip sit 5th in First League (6 points from 4 matches) and Tikveš sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tikveš | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Bregalnica Štip | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bregalnica Štip vs Tikveš?
- The Footlab model makes Bregalnica Štip the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tikveš.
- Where and when is Bregalnica Štip vs Tikveš played?
- Bregalnica Štip vs Tikveš is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.