Sighetu Marmaţiei vs Unirea Dej: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal Solovan, Sighetu Marmaţiei
The Footlab model makes Sighetu Marmaţiei the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Unirea Dej. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sighetu Marmaţiei vs Unirea Dej?
Sighetu Marmaţiei starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,504 vs 1,323).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sighetu Marmaţiei have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Unirea Dej have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Chiesd(away) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Bihorul Beiuş(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 9, 2026 | Unirea Dej(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Sânmartin(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Olimpia Satu Mare(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sighetu Marmaţiei win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Unirea Dej win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei 1-1 Unirea Dej | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sighetu Marmaţiei 0-3 Unirea Dej | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Unirea Dej 2-2 Sighetu Marmaţiei | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Unirea Dej 2-1 Sighetu Marmaţiei | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sighetu Marmaţiei vs Unirea Dej on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sighetu Marmaţiei score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unirea Dej score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sighetu Marmaţiei | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Unirea Dej | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sighetu Marmaţiei sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 8 (43 points from 6 matches) and Unirea Dej sit 6th (23 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Unirea Dej | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sighetu Marmaţiei vs Unirea Dej?
- The Footlab model makes Sighetu Marmaţiei the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Unirea Dej.
- Where and when is Sighetu Marmaţiei vs Unirea Dej played?
- Sighetu Marmaţiei vs Unirea Dej is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal Solovan, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.