Sigma Olomouc II vs Karviná II: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC)Andrův stadion, Olomouc
The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc II the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Karviná II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sigma Olomouc II vs Karviná II?
Sigma Olomouc II starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sigma Olomouc II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Karviná II have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vsetín(away) | 5-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Uničov(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sigma Olomouc II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karviná II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Karviná II 1-3 Sigma Olomouc II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc II 2-3 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Karviná II vs Sigma Olomouc II on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sigma Olomouc II score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karviná II score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc II | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Karviná II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sigma Olomouc II sit 1st in 3. liga - MSFL (12 points from 4 matches) and Karviná II sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sigma Olomouc II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Karviná II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sigma Olomouc II vs Karviná II?
- The Footlab model makes Sigma Olomouc II the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Karviná II.
- Where and when is Sigma Olomouc II vs Karviná II played?
- Sigma Olomouc II vs Karviná II is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC) at Andrův stadion, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.