Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Orelský stadion, Uherský Brod
The Footlab model makes Uherský Brod the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vrchovina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Uherský Brod (1,793) and Vrchovina (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uherský Brod have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Vrchovina have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karviná II(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 4-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Líšeň II(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Uherský Brod win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vrchovina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2023 | Vrchovina 1-0 Uherský Brod | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Uherský Brod 1-0 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
| May 14, 2022 | Uherský Brod 3-0 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Vrchovina 0-0 Uherský Brod | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Vrchovina 2-0 Uherský Brod | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Vrchovina vs Uherský Brod on Apr 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Uherský Brod score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vrchovina score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uherský Brod | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Vrchovina | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uherský Brod sit 11th in 3. liga - MSFL (6 points from 4 matches) and Vrchovina sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vrchovina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Uherský Brod | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina?
- The Footlab model makes Uherský Brod the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vrchovina.
- Where and when is Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina played?
- Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Orelský stadion, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.