Sirius vs Malmo FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Studenternas IP, Uppsala
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malmo FF. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sirius vs Malmo FF?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Sirius (1,940) and Malmo FF (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sirius have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Malmo FF have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sirius win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Malmo FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Malmo FF 2-3 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sirius 5-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Malmo FF 1-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Malmo FF 0-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Sirius 3-4 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Sirius 1-3 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
How many goals should we expect?
Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sirius sit 1st in Allsvenskan (42 points from 18 matches) and Malmo FF sit 7th (26 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sirius vs Malmo FF?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malmo FF.
- Where and when is Sirius vs Malmo FF played?
- Sirius vs Malmo FF is played on August 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Studenternas IP, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.