AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Strawberry Arena, Solna
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for AIK Stockholm. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AIK Stockholm have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hammarby FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AIK Stockholm win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hammarby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Hammarby FF 1-2 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Hammarby FF 2-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| May 18, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 0-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 29, 2024 | AIK Stockholm 1-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 19, 2024 | Hammarby FF 2-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Hammarby FF 4-2 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Hammarby FF vs AIK Stockholm on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AIK Stockholm sit 5th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 17 matches) and Hammarby FF sit 2nd (33 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for AIK Stockholm.
- Where and when is AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF played?
- AIK Stockholm vs Hammarby FF is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Strawberry Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.