Sivasspor vs Boluspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas
The Footlab model makes Sivasspor the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Boluspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Boluspor?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Sivasspor (1,787) and Boluspor (1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sivasspor have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Boluspor have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Serik Spor(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Sivasspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Boluspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Boluspor 1-2 Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Sivasspor 1-0 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Sivasspor 3-1 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Boluspor 4-1 Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Sivasspor score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boluspor score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Boluspor | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sivasspor sit 16th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Boluspor sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sivasspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sivasspor vs Boluspor?
- The Footlab model makes Sivasspor the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Boluspor.
- Where and when is Sivasspor vs Boluspor played?
- Sivasspor vs Boluspor is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.