Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu, Bolu
The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Boluspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Esenler Erokspor starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boluspor have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Esenler Erokspor have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Serik Spor(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Boluspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Esenler Erokspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor 2-0 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Boluspor 1-3 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Boluspor 2-1 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Esenler Erokspor vs Boluspor on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boluspor score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boluspor sit 20th in 1. Lig (0 points from 3 matches) and Esenler Erokspor sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
- The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Boluspor.
- Where and when is Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor played?
- Boluspor vs Esenler Erokspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.