Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas
The Footlab model makes Sivasspor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Manisa F.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Sivasspor (1,786) and Manisa F.K. (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sivasspor have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Manisa F.K. have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Serik Spor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sivasspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Manisa F.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Manisa F.K. 0-1 Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sivasspor 3-2 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Manisa F.K. vs Sivasspor on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sivasspor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sivasspor sit 18th in 1. Lig (1 points from 2 matches) and Manisa F.K. sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Manisa F.K. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Sivasspor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K.?
- The Footlab model makes Sivasspor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Manisa F.K..
- Where and when is Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. played?
- Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. is played on August 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.