SK St. Johann vs Swarovski Tirol II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes SK St. Johann the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Swarovski Tirol II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SK St. Johann vs Swarovski Tirol II?
Swarovski Tirol II starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, SK St. Johann have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Swarovski Tirol II have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dornbirn(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wolfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Imst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dornbirn(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Telfs(home) | 2-1 | Landesliga - Tirol |
How many goals should we expect?
SK St. Johann score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Swarovski Tirol II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK St. Johann | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Swarovski Tirol II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SK St. Johann sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Swarovski Tirol II sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swarovski Tirol II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | SK St. Johann | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SK St. Johann vs Swarovski Tirol II?
- The Footlab model makes SK St. Johann the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Swarovski Tirol II.
- Where and when is SK St. Johann vs Swarovski Tirol II played?
- SK St. Johann vs Swarovski Tirol II is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.