Lustenau vs Dornbirn: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Holzstraße, Lustenau
The Footlab model makes Dornbirn the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lustenau vs Dornbirn?
Dornbirn starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lustenau have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Dornbirn have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kitzbühel(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lochau(home) | 7-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SK St. Johann(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wolfurt(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swarovski Tirol II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lustenau win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dornbirn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lustenau 1-1 Dornbirn | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dornbirn 0-4 Lustenau | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dornbirn score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustenau | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Dornbirn | 1.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lustenau sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (1 points from 4 matches) and Dornbirn sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dornbirn | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
| 16 | Lustenau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lustenau vs Dornbirn?
- The Footlab model makes Dornbirn the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Lustenau.
- Where and when is Lustenau vs Dornbirn played?
- Lustenau vs Dornbirn is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Holzstraße, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.