Skalica vs AS Trencin: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Skalica
The Footlab model makes Skalica the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for AS Trencin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skalica vs AS Trencin?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Skalica (1,837) and AS Trencin (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skalica have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AS Trencin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nové Mesto nad Váhom(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Košice(home) | 2-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Žilina(away) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ružomberok(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(home) | 0-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jednota Bánová(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbrezová(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Košice(away) | 3-3 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Skalica win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 AS Trencin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Skalica 4-1 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | AS Trencin 2-1 Skalica | Super Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Skalica 0-1 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | AS Trencin 1-1 Skalica | Super Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | AS Trencin 2-0 Skalica | Super Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Skalica 1-0 AS Trencin | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Skalica vs AS Trencin on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skalica score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AS Trencin score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skalica | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AS Trencin | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skalica sit 6th in Super Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and AS Trencin sit 10th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Skalica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 10 | AS Trencin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skalica vs AS Trencin?
- The Footlab model makes Skalica the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for AS Trencin.
- Where and when is Skalica vs AS Trencin played?
- Skalica vs AS Trencin is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.