Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Slovan Bratislava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?
Slovan Bratislava starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,071 vs 1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Trnava have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Slovan Bratislava have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Košice(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Celje(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ružomberok(home) | 5-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Spartak Trnava win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Slovan Bratislava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 0-1 Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava 4-0 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 1-1 Slovan Bratislava | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 0-2 Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 2-3 Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Bratislava score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Trnava sit 1st in Super Liga (13 points from 5 matches) and Slovan Bratislava sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Slovan Bratislava.
- Where and when is Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava played?
- Spartak Trnava vs Slovan Bratislava is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at CITY ARENA – Štadión Antona Malatinského, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.