Skalica vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Skalica
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Skalica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skalica vs Spartak Trnava?
Spartak Trnava starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,959 vs 1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skalica have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Spartak Trnava have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nové Mesto nad Váhom(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Košice(home) | 2-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Žilina(away) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ružomberok(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Skalica win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Spartak Trnava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 1-1 Skalica | Super Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 2-0 Skalica | Super Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Skalica 0-4 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Spartak Trnava 2-0 Skalica | Super Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Skalica 1-2 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Spartak Trnava 2-0 Skalica | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Trnava vs Skalica on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skalica score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skalica | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skalica sit 6th in Super Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Trnava sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Skalica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skalica vs Spartak Trnava?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Skalica.
- Where and when is Skalica vs Spartak Trnava played?
- Skalica vs Spartak Trnava is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.